Australia’s avocado production is rebounding, with supply and exports tipped to reach record levels, according to a new report from Rabobank.
According to the Global Avocado Update 2026, avocado supply is expected to soar to record levels of 170,000 tonnes in the coming seasons. This will see Australian avocado exports also lift to record highs.
The abundant supply is expected to see retail prices for the food item remain relatively low.
Michael Harvey, report co-author and RaboResearch senior analyst, said avocado production is on an upward trajectory as the nation’s avocado sector matures. The growth follows a 15 per cent decline in the 2024/25 season, attributed to natural biennial-bearing cycles.
“Australia’s avocado sector has undergone structural expansion in recent years, underpinned by increased plantings as well as yield gains as newer orchards reach maturity,” he said.
Queensland remains the largest avocado-producing state in Australia, accounting for 50 per cent of national output, followed by Western Australia.
“Growing conditions for the commencement of the 2026 season have been most favourable in these key regions,” Harvey added.
Globally, the report says global avocado volumes are expected to increase further in the 2026/27 season. However, the developing El Niño is set to heighten, but unevenly distribute, weather risks.
On the demand side, the report says that some established markets are showing signs of maturity, while new players continue to drive demand.
“Global avocado demand continues to display a dual-speed dynamic, with mature markets approaching saturation, while emerging consumption regions sustain structurally higher growth,” Harvey said.
- Further reading: Avocado industry launches VR supply chain training with Woolworths.
